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A. Italiano vs U. Catolica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Chile · Primera DivisiónSat, 11 Apr 2026

A. Italiano

WWDLD

Sat, 11 Apr 202622:30

3 : 4

Full time

U. Catolica

WWDDL

Pre-match win probability

26.8%A. Italiano27.5%Draw45.7%U. Catolica

Our prediction

Away · A. Italiano

A. Italiano vs U. Catolica listed tip from the board.

Odds2.05
Confidence45.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • A. Italiano 26.8%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • U. Catolica 45.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

A. ItalianoU. Catolica
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

A. Italiano3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctA. Italiano1 – 1HuachipatoD
  • 26 SeptColo Colo1 – 0A. ItalianoL
  • 23 SeptA. Italiano0 – 0Colo ColoD
  • 14 SeptA. Italiano1 – 0O'HigginsW
  • 5 SeptConcepción0 – 1A. ItalianoW
U. Catolica4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctUnion La Calera3 – 1U. CatolicaL
  • 27 SeptU. Catolica0 – 0Union La CaleraD
  • 24 SeptUnion La Calera1 – 1U. CatolicaD
  • 13 SeptPalestino2 – 3U. CatolicaW
  • 5 SeptEverton de Vina0 – 1U. CatolicaW
H2H
Head to headA. Italiano 3W · 3D · U. Catolica 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 20 JulA. Italiano1 – 1U. Catolica
  • 17 FebU. Catolica3 – 1A. Italiano
  • 18 AugA. Italiano2 – 1U. Catolica
  • 18 MarU. Catolica0 – 0A. Italiano
  • 5 AugU. Catolica0 – 2A. Italiano
  • 6 MarA. Italiano3 – 2U. Catolica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

A. Italiano3.5
Draw3.4
U. Catolica2.05

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

A. Italiano

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.4

U. Catolica

Chance45.7%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.05

A. ItalianoU. Catolica
Recent form48%52%
Attack38%62%
Defence57%43%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

A. Italiano scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

A. Italiano conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

A. Italiano vs U. Catolica: prediction & preview

Chile · Primera División · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

A. Italiano meet U. Catolica in the Chile, Primera División on 11 April 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is U. Catolica at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

A. Italiano vs U. Catolica FAQs

4 questions

What time is A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on A. Italiano vs U. Catolica?

U. Catolica is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.