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A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaWed, 6 May 2026

A. Italiano

DDDLW

Wed, 6 May 202623:00

1 : 2

Live

Vasco DA Gama

DWLWW

Pre-match win probability

33.9%A. Italiano29.6%Draw36.5%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

1X · A. Italiano

A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence36.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • A. Italiano 33.9%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Vasco DA Gama 36.5%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

A. ItalianoVasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

A. Italiano2.8
Draw3.2
Vasco DA Gama2.6

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

A. Italiano

Chance33.9%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Vasco DA Gama

Chance36.5%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.44

A. ItalianoVasco DA Gama
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 6 May 2026

A. Italiano meet Vasco DA Gama in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 6 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama?

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

A. Italiano vs Vasco DA Gama prediction, H2H and stats