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Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipSun, 1 Mar 2026

Aberystwyth Town

WDWLW

Sun, 1 Mar 202615:30

0 : 4

Full time

Caerau (Ely)

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

37.7%Aberystwyth Town24.9%Draw37.4%Caerau (Ely)

Our prediction

Home · Aberystwyth Town

Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) listed tip from the board.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aberystwyth Town 37.7%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Caerau (Ely) 37.4%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Aberystwyth TownCaerau (Ely)
Goals scored (avg)
2.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aberystwyth Town6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 17 OctAberystwyth Town5 – 1Prestatyn TownW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)L
  • 3 OctPontypridd Town1 – 3Aberystwyth TownW
  • 25 SeptAberystwyth Town0 – 0Swansea UniversityD
  • 12 SeptCaerphilly Athletic2 – 3Aberystwyth TownW
Caerau (Ely)0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAberystwyth Town 0W · 0D · Caerau (Ely) 2W · 1 goals a game
    • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)
    • 20 DecCaerau (Ely)1 – 0Aberystwyth Town

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

    Double chance

    1X51%
    X249%

    Match result

    Aberystwyth Town2.38
    Draw3.6
    Caerau (Ely)2.4

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance51%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance49%
    Odds1.5

    Aberystwyth Town

    Chance37.7%
    Odds2.38

    Draw

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.6

    Caerau (Ely)

    Chance37.4%
    Odds2.4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 2.38

    Aberystwyth TownCaerau (Ely)
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack71%29%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model71%29%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall50%50%

    Trends

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Aberystwyth Town scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Aberystwyth Town conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely): prediction & preview

    Wales · FAW Championship · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

    Aberystwyth Town meet Caerau (Ely) in the Wales, FAW Championship on 1 March 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aberystwyth Town at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

    Aberystwyth Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.