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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan

WDWLD

Sun, 18 Oct 202617:00

3 : 2

Full time

Atalanta

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

55.8%AC Milan23.1%Draw21.1%Atalanta

Our prediction

1X · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 55.8%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Atalanta 21.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanAtalanta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

AC Milan1.7
Draw4.1
Atalanta4.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

AC Milan

Chance55.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Atalanta

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

AC MilanAtalanta
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AC Milan vs Atalanta?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction, H2H and stats