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AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 24 May 2026

AC Milan

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Sun, 24 May 202619:45

1 : 2

Full time

Cagliari

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

72.6%AC Milan18%Draw9.4%Cagliari

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Cagliari listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence72.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 72.6%
  • Draw 18%
  • Cagliari 9.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanCagliari

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X75.2%
X224.8%

Match result

AC Milan1.3
Draw5.25
Cagliari10

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance75.2%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance24.8%
Odds3.25

AC Milan

Chance72.6%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5.25

Cagliari

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

AC MilanCagliari
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

AC Milan vs Cagliari: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 24 May 2026

AC Milan meet Cagliari in the Italy, Serie A on 24 May 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Cagliari FAQs

4 questions

What time is AC Milan vs Cagliari?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 24 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AC Milan vs Cagliari?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AC Milan vs Cagliari prediction, H2H and stats