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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 19 Oct 2025

AC Milan

Sun, 19 Oct 202519:45

2 : 1

Full time

Fiorentina

Pre-match win probability

62%AC Milan22.7%Draw15.3%Fiorentina

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds1.15
Confidence62%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 62%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Fiorentina 15.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanFiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.9% · 12.3
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12% · 1.9611.9% · 1.98
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.1218% · 1.31

Both teams to score

Yes48.3%
No51.7%

Double chance

1X68.7%
X231.3%

Match result

AC Milan1.59
Draw4.35
Fiorentina6.44

Both teams to score

Yes48.3% · 1.93
No51.7% · 1.8

1X

Chance68.7%
Odds1.15

X2

Chance31.3%
Odds2.53

AC Milan

Chance62%
Odds1.59

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4.35

Fiorentina

Chance15.3%
Odds6.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.15

AC MilanFiorentina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

AC Milan vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 19 Oct 2025

AC Milan meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 19 October 2025 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.59. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.96, about 50.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is AC Milan vs Fiorentina?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 19 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AC Milan vs Fiorentina?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.59. The margin-adjusted share is about 62%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.96 and under 2.5 is 1.98.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.93. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction, H2H and stats