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AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AThu, 8 Jan 2026

AC Milan

WWLDW

Thu, 8 Jan 202620:45

1 : 1

Full time

Genoa

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

62.9%AC Milan23.6%Draw13.5%Genoa

Our prediction

Home · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Genoa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 62.9%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Genoa 13.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanGenoa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

AC Milan1.5
Draw4
Genoa7

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.62

AC Milan

Chance62.9%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Genoa

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

AC MilanGenoa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

AC Milan vs Genoa: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Thu, 8 Jan 2026

AC Milan meet Genoa in the Italy, Serie A on 8 January 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Genoa FAQs

4 questions

What time is AC Milan vs Genoa?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 8 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AC Milan vs Genoa?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AC Milan vs Genoa prediction, H2H and stats