AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 18 Jan 2026

AC Milan

WDDWW

Sun, 18 Jan 202620:45

1 : 0

Full time

Lecce

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

73.1%AC Milan19%Draw7.9%Lecce

Our prediction

Home · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence73.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 73.1%
  • Draw 19%
  • Lecce 7.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanLecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals8% · 317.1% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X76.4%
X223.6%

Match result

AC Milan1.3
Draw5
Lecce12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance76.4%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance23.6%
Odds3.4

AC Milan

Chance73.1%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance19%
Odds5

Lecce

Chance7.9%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.3

AC MilanLecce
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

AC Milan vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

AC Milan meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 18 January 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AC Milan vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is AC Milan vs Lecce?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AC Milan vs Lecce?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AC Milan vs Lecce prediction, H2H and stats