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Achuapa vs Malacateco Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Guatemala · Liga NacionalSun, 12 Apr 2026

Achuapa

12th in table · 19 pts

LLLLD

Sun, 12 Apr 202623:00

1 : 0

Live

Malacateco

10th in table · 22 pts

LWLWD

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Achuapa28.8%Draw30.7%Malacateco

Our prediction

Away · Achuapa

Achuapa vs Malacateco listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Achuapa 40.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Malacateco 30.7%

Season statistics

Liga Nacional · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AchuapaMalacateco
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.1
Wins
56
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Achuapa0W 1D 8L in last 9
  • 26 AprAchuapa2 – 2Antigua GFCD
  • 19 AprCobán Imperial3 – 1AchuapaL
  • 17 AprXelajú3 – 0AchuapaL
  • 7 AprGuastatoya3 – 1AchuapaL
  • 2 AprAchuapa1 – 2MunicipalL
Malacateco4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctDeportivo San Pedro2 – 2MalacatecoD
  • 21 OctMalacateco1 – 0ComunicacionesW
  • 15 OctXelajú2 – 1MalacatecoL
  • 11 OctMalacateco2 – 0GuastatoyaW
  • 3 OctCobán Imperial2 – 0MalacatecoL
H2H
Head to headAchuapa 2W · 2D · Malacateco 5W · 2 goals a game
  • 21 FebMalacateco1 – 1Achuapa
  • 5 NovAchuapa0 – 1Malacateco
  • 31 AugMalacateco2 – 0Achuapa
  • 29 MarMalacateco2 – 0Achuapa
  • 26 JanAchuapa0 – 0Malacateco
  • 20 OctAchuapa0 – 2Malacateco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals41.9% · 2.2558.1% · 1.62

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Achuapa2.2
Draw3.1
Malacateco2.9

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.55

Achuapa

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Malacateco

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.9

AchuapaMalacateco
Recent form7%93%
Attack39%61%
Defence32%68%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Liga Nacional

Achuapa scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Nacional

Achuapa conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Nacional

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Liga Nacional

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Achuapa vs Malacateco: prediction & preview

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Achuapa meet Malacateco in the Guatemala, Liga Nacional on 12 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Achuapa at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Achuapa vs Malacateco FAQs

4 questions

What time is Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Achuapa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.