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AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CSun, 16 Aug 2026

AD Nogueirense

Sun, 16 Aug 202617:00

1 : 1

Full time

Sertanense

Pre-match win probability

39.1%AD Nogueirense32.7%Draw28.1%Sertanense

Our prediction

AD Nogueirense

AD Nogueirense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AD Nogueirense 39.1%
  • Draw 32.7%
  • Sertanense 28.1%

Season statistics

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · highlighted side is stronger

AD NogueirenseSertanense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

Double chance

1X54%
X246%

Match result

AD Nogueirense2.3
Draw2.75
Sertanense3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance46%
Odds1.5

AD Nogueirense

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance32.7%
Odds2.75

Sertanense

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AD Nogueirense at 2.3

AD NogueirenseSertanense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

AD Nogueirense meet Sertanense in the Portugal, Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AD Nogueirense at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQs

4 questions

What time is AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense?

AD Nogueirense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense prediction, H2H and stats