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Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · South Australia NPLFri, 5 Jun 2026

Adelaide City

WDDWL

Fri, 5 Jun 202611:00

4 : 1

Full time

Sturt Lions

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

51.6%Adelaide City24.1%Draw24.4%Sturt Lions

Our prediction

Home · Adelaide City

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence51.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Adelaide City 51.6%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Sturt Lions 24.4%

Season statistics

South Australia NPL · highlighted side is stronger

Adelaide CitySturt Lions

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.6% · 19
1.5 goals26.8% · 1.146.1% · 5
2.5 goals20.4% · 1.512.2% · 2.5
3.5 goals13.9% · 2.218.9% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Adelaide City1.75
Draw3.75
Sturt Lions3.7

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Adelaide City

Chance51.6%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.75

Sturt Lions

Chance24.4%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.75

Adelaide CitySturt Lions
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions: prediction & preview

Australia · South Australia NPL · Fri, 5 Jun 2026

Adelaide City meet Sturt Lions in the Australia, South Australia NPL on 5 June 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Adelaide City at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions FAQs

4 questions

What time is Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 5 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?

Adelaide City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions prediction, H2H and stats