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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 17 Jan 2026

Adelaide United

DLWWL

Sat, 17 Jan 202609:35

2 : 1

Full time

Melbourne Victory

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

27.7%Adelaide United24.1%Draw48.2%Melbourne Victory

Our prediction

Away · Adelaide United

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Adelaide United 27.7%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Melbourne Victory 48.2%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X44%
X256%

Match result

Adelaide United3.4
Draw3.9
Melbourne Victory1.95

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance44%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance56%
Odds1.36

Adelaide United

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

Melbourne Victory

Chance48.2%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.95

Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Adelaide United meet Melbourne Victory in the Australia, A-League on 17 January 2026 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory FAQs

4 questions

What time is Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Kickoff is 09:35 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction, H2H and stats