Get Premium

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Greece · Super League 1Sat, 5 Sept 2026

AEK Athens FC

3rd in table · 17 pts

WLLWL

Sat, 5 Sept 202619:00

5 : 0

Full time

Aris Thessalonikis

4th in table · 16 pts

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

67.6%AEK Athens FC20.7%Draw11.7%Aris Thessalonikis

Our prediction

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence67.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AEK Athens FC 67.6%
  • Draw 20.7%
  • Aris Thessalonikis 11.7%

Season statistics

Super League 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.1
Wins
55
Played
78

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AEK Athens FC5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 28 OctPAOK3 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 24 OctAEK Athens FC5 – 0PanetolikosW
  • 20 OctManchester City5 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 14 OctShakhtar Donetsk3 – 1AEK Athens FCL
  • 10 OctAEK Athens FC3 – 0OFIW
Aris Thessalonikis5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 28 OctPanathinaikos2 – 1Aris ThessalonikisL
  • 25 OctAris Thessalonikis3 – 1AtromitosW
  • 18 OctKifisia1 – 2Aris ThessalonikisW
  • 11 OctAris Thessalonikis3 – 2Volos NFCW
  • 19 SeptAris Thessalonikis0 – 0Iraklis 1908D
H2H
Head to headAEK Athens FC 5W · 4D · Aris Thessalonikis 0W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 11 JanAris Thessalonikis1 – 1AEK Athens FC
  • 23 NovAEK Athens FC1 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
  • 9 MarAris Thessalonikis0 – 0AEK Athens FC
  • 3 DecAris Thessalonikis1 – 1AEK Athens FC
  • 30 NovAEK Athens FC4 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
  • 30 OctAEK Athens FC1 – 0Aris Thessalonikis

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

AEK Athens FC1.38
Draw4.5
Aris Thessalonikis8

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

AEK Athens FC

Chance67.6%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance20.7%
Odds4.5

Aris Thessalonikis

Chance11.7%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AEK Athens FC at 1.38

AEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
Recent form48%52%
Attack65%35%
Defence42%58%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall85%15%

Trends

Trend · Super League 1

AEK Athens FC scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League 1

AEK Athens FC conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Super League 1

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction & preview

Greece · Super League 1 · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

AEK Athens FC meet Aris Thessalonikis in the Greece, Super League 1 on 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AEK Athens FC at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis FAQs

4 questions

What time is AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis?

AEK Athens FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.