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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · 1. DivisionSat, 16 May 2026

AEK Larnaca

DWLWD

Sat, 16 May 202616:00

2 : 2

Full time

Pafos

WLLDW

Pre-match win probability

43.7%AEK Larnaca26.9%Draw29.4%Pafos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence43.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AEK Larnaca 43.7%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Pafos 29.4%

Season statistics

1. Division · highlighted side is stronger

AEK LarnacaPafos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

AEK Larnaca2.15
Draw3.5
Pafos3.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

AEK Larnaca

Chance43.7%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

Pafos

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

AEK LarnacaPafos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: prediction & preview

Cyprus · 1. Division · Sat, 16 May 2026

AEK Larnaca meet Pafos in the Cyprus, 1. Division on 16 May 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AEK Larnaca at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FAQs

4 questions

What time is AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

AEK Larnaca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos prediction, H2H and stats