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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · 1. DivisionSun, 13 Sept 2026

AEK Larnaca

1st in table · 16 pts

WWDWW

Sun, 13 Sept 202617:00

0 : 1

Full time

Pafos

5th in table · 12 pts

WLDDD

Pre-match win probability

35.6%AEK Larnaca28.9%Draw35.6%Pafos

Our prediction

AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence35.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AEK Larnaca 35.6%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Pafos 35.6%

Season statistics

1. Division · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AEK LarnacaPafos
Goals scored (avg)
2.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.8
Wins
53
Played
77

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AEK Larnaca8W 1D 0L in last 9
  • 26 OctAEK Larnaca2 – 0Omonia NicosiaW
  • 21 OctAEK Larnaca3 – 2AkritasW
  • 18 OctAris1 – 1AEK LarnacaD
  • 12 OctAEK Larnaca1 – 0Omonia AradippouW
  • 3 OctAEK Larnaca3 – 0Apollon LimassolW
Pafos3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 26 OctNea Salamis0 – 0PafosD
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 19 OctPafos0 – 0Apoel NicosiaD
  • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosL
  • 11 OctAnorthosis1 – 3PafosW
H2H
Head to headAEK Larnaca 2W · 5D · Pafos 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 16 MayAEK Larnaca2 – 2Pafos
  • 18 AprPafos1 – 1AEK Larnaca
  • 25 JanPafos1 – 2AEK Larnaca
  • 30 OctPafos1 – 1AEK Larnaca
  • 5 OctAEK Larnaca2 – 4Pafos
  • 24 MayAEK Larnaca0 – 0Pafos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

AEK Larnaca2.6
Draw3.2
Pafos2.6

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

AEK Larnaca

Chance35.6%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.2

Pafos

Chance35.6%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AEK Larnaca at 2.6

AEK LarnacaPafos
Recent form66%34%
Attack70%30%
Defence50%50%
Goals model70%30%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · 1. Division

AEK Larnaca scored 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. Division

AEK Larnaca conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 1. Division

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · 1. Division

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: prediction & preview

Cyprus · 1. Division · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

AEK Larnaca meet Pafos in the Cyprus, 1. Division on 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AEK Larnaca at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FAQs

4 questions

What time is AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

AEK Larnaca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.