AFC Malmo vs Lund Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Sweden · Ettan - SödraSat, 22 Aug 2026

AFC Malmo

5th in table · 44 pts

WWWLL

Sat, 22 Aug 202612:00

2 : 5

Full time

Lund

3rd in table · 47 pts

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

48.2%AFC Malmo24.8%Draw27%Lund

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AFC Malmo

AFC Malmo vs Lund listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AFC Malmo 48.2%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Lund 27%

Season statistics

Ettan - Södra · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AFC MalmoLund
Goals scored (avg)
1.72.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.3
Wins
1213
Played
2828

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AFC Malmo4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctAFC Malmo2 – 3Angelholms FFL
  • 17 OctJonkopings Sodra2 – 1AFC MalmoL
  • 10 OctAFC Malmo4 – 2Skövde AIKW
  • 2 OctKristianstad0 – 1AFC MalmoW
  • 27 SeptEskilsminne1 – 2AFC MalmoW
Lund5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctEskilsminne1 – 4LundW
  • 16 OctLund2 – 4TrelleborgL
  • 10 OctLund4 – 3TrollhättanW
  • 2 OctLund0 – 1LaholmL
  • 25 SeptLund0 – 1KristianstadL
H2H
Head to headAFC Malmo 1W · 0D · Lund 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 12 JunLund1 – 4AFC Malmo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

AFC Malmo1.85
Draw3.6
Lund3.3

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

AFC Malmo

Chance48.2%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

Lund

Chance27%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.25

AFC MalmoLund
Recent form48%52%
Attack44%56%
Defence47%53%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Ettan - Södra

AFC Malmo scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ettan - Södra

AFC Malmo conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ettan - Södra

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Ettan - Södra

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

AFC Malmo vs Lund: prediction & preview

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

AFC Malmo meet Lund in the Sweden, Ettan - Södra on 22 August 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AFC Malmo at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AFC Malmo vs Lund FAQs

4 questions

What time is AFC Malmo vs Lund?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AFC Malmo vs Lund?

AFC Malmo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AFC Malmo vs Lund prediction, H2H and stats