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Ajax vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 22 Oct 2026

Ajax

WLDDW

Thu, 22 Oct 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Atalanta

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

46.9%Ajax24.7%Draw28.4%Atalanta

Our prediction

X2 · Ajax

Ajax vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence46.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 46.9%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Atalanta 28.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxAtalanta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Ajax2
Draw3.8
Atalanta3.3

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.8

Ajax

Chance46.9%
Odds2

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

Atalanta

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.8

AjaxAtalanta
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Ajax vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Ajax meet Atalanta in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Atalanta FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs Atalanta?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Atalanta?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs Atalanta prediction, H2H and stats