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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 18 Oct 2025

Ajax

Sat, 18 Oct 202520:00

0 : 2

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

Pre-match win probability

47%Ajax25.4%Draw27.6%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Ajax

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.04
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 47%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • AZ Alkmaar 27.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.4% · 17
1.5 goals21% · 1.125% · 4.7
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.69.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.2% · 1.55

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X57.7%
X242.3%

Match result

Ajax2.04
Draw3.78
AZ Alkmaar3.48

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.48
No37.5% · 2.47

1X

Chance57.7%
Odds1.32

X2

Chance42.3%
Odds1.8

Ajax

Chance47%
Odds2.04

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.78

AZ Alkmaar

Chance27.6%
Odds3.48

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Ajax at 2.04

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Ajax meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 18 October 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2.04. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 60% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.48.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.04. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.48. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats