Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 19 Sept 2026

Ajax

WWLWW

Sat, 19 Sept 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

Excelsior

LDWWL

Pre-match win probability

77.8%Ajax13.6%Draw8.6%Excelsior

Our prediction

Home · Ajax

Ajax vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 77.8%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Excelsior 8.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxExcelsior

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals13.7% · 1.7311.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Ajax1.22
Draw7
Excelsior11

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Ajax

Chance77.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Excelsior

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.22

AjaxExcelsior
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Ajax vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Ajax meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs Excelsior?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Excelsior?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs Excelsior prediction, H2H and stats