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Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 16 Aug 2026

Ajax

DWWWW

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:45

2 : 2

Full time

Heerenveen

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

65.4%Ajax20%Draw14.6%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ajax

Ajax vs Heerenveen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 65.4%
  • Draw 20%
  • Heerenveen 14.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxHeerenveen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X71.4%
X228.6%

Match result

Ajax1.45
Draw4.75
Heerenveen6.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

Ajax

Chance65.4%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Heerenveen

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.1

AjaxHeerenveen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Ajax vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Ajax meet Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 16 August 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Heerenveen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs Heerenveen?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Heerenveen?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs Heerenveen prediction, H2H and stats