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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 21 Feb 2026

Ajax

WDDLW

Sat, 21 Feb 202621:00

1 : 1

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Ajax21.9%Draw23.8%NEC Nijmegen

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ajax

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 54.3%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • NEC Nijmegen 23.8%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxNEC Nijmegen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X62.1%
X237.9%

Match result

Ajax1.75
Draw4.33
NEC Nijmegen4

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.9%
Odds2

Ajax

Chance54.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

NEC Nijmegen

Chance23.8%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Ajax meet NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 21 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, H2H and stats