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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 10 Oct 2026

Ajax

DWWLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

72%Ajax16.3%Draw11.7%NEC Nijmegen

Our prediction

Home · Ajax

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence72%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 72%
  • Draw 16.3%
  • NEC Nijmegen 11.7%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxNEC Nijmegen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
2.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
3.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.8% · 2.2

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X74.7%
X225.3%

Match result

Ajax1.3
Draw5.75
NEC Nijmegen8

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance74.7%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance25.3%
Odds3.25

Ajax

Chance72%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance16.3%
Odds5.75

NEC Nijmegen

Chance11.7%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.3

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Ajax meet NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.25, about 76.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 72%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.25 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, H2H and stats