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Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 2 May 2026

Ajax

WWLDW

Sat, 2 May 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

PSV Eindhoven

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

40.3%Ajax22.6%Draw37.1%PSV Eindhoven

Our prediction

Draw · Ajax

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven listed tip from the board.

Odds4.2
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 40.3%
  • Draw 22.6%
  • PSV Eindhoven 37.1%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxPSV Eindhoven

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.8% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

Double chance

1X50.5%
X249.5%

Match result

Ajax2.35
Draw4.2
PSV Eindhoven2.55

Both teams to score

Yes71% · 1.33
No29% · 3.25

1X

Chance50.5%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance49.5%
Odds1.53

Ajax

Chance40.3%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance22.6%
Odds4.2

PSV Eindhoven

Chance37.1%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.2

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 2 May 2026

Ajax meet PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 2 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven prediction, H2H and stats