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Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 14 Mar 2026

Ajax

LDDWD

Sat, 14 Mar 202621:00

4 : 0

Full time

Sparta Rotterdam

DLLDD

Pre-match win probability

54.9%Ajax21.9%Draw23.2%Sparta Rotterdam

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ajax

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence54.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 54.9%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Sparta Rotterdam 23.2%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxSparta Rotterdam

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X62.7%
X237.3%

Match result

Ajax1.73
Draw4.33
Sparta Rotterdam4.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance62.7%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.3%
Odds2.05

Ajax

Chance54.9%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

Sparta Rotterdam

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

AjaxSparta Rotterdam
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Ajax meet Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 14 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction, H2H and stats