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Ajax vs Willem II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieTue, 15 Sept 2026

Ajax

WLWWW

Tue, 15 Sept 202619:00

5 : 1

Full time

Willem II

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

85.1%Ajax10.4%Draw4.5%Willem II

Our prediction

Home · Ajax

Ajax vs Willem II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence85.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 85.1%
  • Draw 10.4%
  • Willem II 4.5%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxWillem II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
2.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.7% · 4.2
3.5 goals15.6% · 1.5310% · 2.38

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X86.4%
X213.6%

Match result

Ajax1.1
Draw9
Willem II21

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance86.4%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance13.6%
Odds6.5

Ajax

Chance85.1%
Odds1.1

Draw

Chance10.4%
Odds9

Willem II

Chance4.5%
Odds21

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.1

AjaxWillem II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall95%5%

Ajax vs Willem II: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Ajax meet Willem II in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 85.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.22, about 77.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs Willem II FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs Willem II?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Willem II?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 85.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.22 and under 2.5 is 4.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs Willem II prediction, H2H and stats