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Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Qatar · Stars LeagueWed, 18 Mar 2026

Al-Gharafa

Wed, 18 Mar 202619:30

1 : 4

Full time

Al Ahli Doha

Pre-match win probability

42.7%Al-Gharafa26.4%Draw30.9%Al Ahli Doha

Our prediction

Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al-Gharafa 42.7%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Al Ahli Doha 30.9%

Season statistics

Stars League · highlighted side is stronger

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Al-Gharafa2.1
Draw3.4
Al Ahli Doha2.9

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Al-Gharafa

Chance42.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Al Ahli Doha

Chance30.9%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Al-Gharafa at 2.1

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha: prediction & preview

Qatar · Stars League · Wed, 18 Mar 2026

Al-Gharafa meet Al Ahli Doha in the Qatar, Stars League on 18 March 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Al-Gharafa at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha FAQs

4 questions

What time is Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 18 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Al-Gharafa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha prediction, H2H and stats