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Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · AFC Champions League EliteMon, 12 Oct 2026

Al-Gharafa

Mon, 12 Oct 202619:15

1 : 2

Full time

Esteghlal FC

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Al-Gharafa28.4%Draw41.9%Esteghlal FC

Our prediction

Esteghlal FC

Esteghlal FC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al-Gharafa 29.7%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Esteghlal FC 41.9%

Season statistics

AFC Champions League Elite · highlighted side is stronger

Al-GharafaEsteghlal FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Al-Gharafa3.1
Draw3.25
Esteghlal FC2.2

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Al-Gharafa

Chance29.7%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.25

Esteghlal FC

Chance41.9%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Esteghlal FC at 2.2

Al-GharafaEsteghlal FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC: prediction & preview

World · AFC Champions League Elite · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Al-Gharafa meet Esteghlal FC in the World, AFC Champions League Elite on 12 October 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Esteghlal FC at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC?

Kickoff is 19:15 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC?

Esteghlal FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC prediction, H2H and stats