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Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Qatar · Emir CupFri, 1 May 2026

Al-Gharafa

Fri, 1 May 202618:00

2 : 1

Full time

UMM Salal

Pre-match win probability

49.8%Al-Gharafa23.9%Draw26.3%UMM Salal

Our prediction

Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al-Gharafa 49.8%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • UMM Salal 26.3%

Season statistics

Emir Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Al-GharafaUMM Salal

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Al-Gharafa0W 0D 0L in last 0
    UMM Salal0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headAl-Gharafa 7W · 1D · UMM Salal 1W · 4.2 goals a game
      • 6 JanUMM Salal2 – 3Al-Gharafa
      • 15 AugAl-Gharafa4 – 2UMM Salal
      • 19 MayAl-Gharafa4 – 2UMM Salal
      • 7 MarUMM Salal0 – 1Al-Gharafa
      • 18 OctAl-Gharafa3 – 1UMM Salal
      • 5 OctUMM Salal5 – 0Al-Gharafa

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals62.5% · 1.537.5% · 2.5

      Double chance

      1X58.4%
      X241.6%

      Match result

      Al-Gharafa1.8
      Draw3.75
      UMM Salal3.4

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance58.4%
      Odds1.28

      X2

      Chance41.6%
      Odds1.8

      Al-Gharafa

      Chance49.8%
      Odds1.8

      Draw

      Chance23.9%
      Odds3.75

      UMM Salal

      Chance26.3%
      Odds3.4

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Al-Gharafa at 1.8

      Al-GharafaUMM Salal
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head83%17%
      Overall65%35%

      Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal: prediction & preview

      Qatar · Emir Cup · Fri, 1 May 2026

      Al-Gharafa meet UMM Salal in the Qatar, Emir Cup on 1 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Al-Gharafa at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

      Kickoff is 18:00 on 1 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

      Al-Gharafa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.