Al Najaf vs Erbil Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Iraq · Iraqi LeagueMon, 11 May 2026

Al Najaf

Mon, 11 May 202615:30

1 : 4

Full time

Erbil

Pre-match win probability

16.9%Al Najaf23.7%Draw59.3%Erbil

Our prediction

Erbil

Erbil is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence59.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al Najaf 16.9%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Erbil 59.3%

Season statistics

Iraqi League · highlighted side is stronger

Al NajafErbil

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

Double chance

1X32.6%
X267.4%

Match result

Al Najaf5.25
Draw3.75
Erbil1.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance32.6%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance67.4%
Odds1.11

Al Najaf

Chance16.9%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.75

Erbil

Chance59.3%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Erbil at 1.5

Al NajafErbil
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall22%78%

Al Najaf vs Erbil: prediction & preview

Iraq · Iraqi League · Mon, 11 May 2026

Al Najaf meet Erbil in the Iraq, Iraqi League on 11 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Erbil at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Al Najaf vs Erbil FAQs

4 questions

What time is Al Najaf vs Erbil?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Al Najaf vs Erbil?

Erbil is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Al Najaf vs Erbil prediction, H2H and stats