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Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Qatar · Stars LeagueSat, 5 Sept 2026

Al Sadd

Sat, 5 Sept 202617:15

4 : 1

Full time

Al-Gharafa

Pre-match win probability

64.1%Al Sadd17.9%Draw17.9%Al-Gharafa

Our prediction

Al Sadd

Al Sadd is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence64.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Al Sadd 64.1%
  • Draw 17.9%
  • Al-Gharafa 17.9%

Season statistics

Stars League · highlighted side is stronger

Al SaddAl-Gharafa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
2.5 goals18.3% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
3.5 goals14% · 1.6711.2% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X68.4%
X231.6%

Match result

Al Sadd1.4
Draw5
Al-Gharafa5

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance68.4%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance31.6%
Odds2.4

Al Sadd

Chance64.1%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance17.9%
Odds5

Al-Gharafa

Chance17.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Al Sadd at 1.4

Al SaddAl-Gharafa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa: prediction & preview

Qatar · Stars League · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Al Sadd meet Al-Gharafa in the Qatar, Stars League on 5 September 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Al Sadd at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa?

Al Sadd is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa prediction, H2H and stats