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Alaves vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 2 May 2026

Alaves

LDLLD

Sat, 2 May 202617:30

2 : 4

Full time

Athletic Club

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

34.1%Alaves28.4%Draw37.5%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alaves

Alaves vs Athletic Club listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 34.1%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Athletic Club 37.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesAthletic Club
Goals scored (avg)
1.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alaves3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 23 OctAlaves1 – 1MalagaD
  • 18 OctCelta Vigo2 – 1AlavesL
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridL
  • 19 SeptAthletic Club0 – 0AlavesD
  • 15 SeptAlaves0 – 1ValenciaL
Athletic Club0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
    3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X48.3%
    X251.7%

    Match result

    Alaves2.75
    Draw3.3
    Athletic Club2.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance48.3%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance51.7%
    Odds1.4

    Alaves

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.75

    Draw

    Chance28.4%
    Odds3.3

    Athletic Club

    Chance37.5%
    Odds2.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

    AlavesAthletic Club
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack58%42%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model58%42%
    Overall48%52%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Alaves scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Alaves conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Alaves vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Sat, 2 May 2026

    Alaves meet Athletic Club in the Spain, La Liga on 2 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Athletic Club at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Alaves vs Athletic Club FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Alaves vs Athletic Club?

    Kickoff is 17:30 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Athletic Club?

    Athletic Club is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.