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Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 13 May 2026

Alaves

DLWLD

Wed, 13 May 202620:30

1 : 0

Full time

Barcelona

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

29.5%Alaves25.5%Draw45%Barcelona

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Alaves

Alaves vs Barcelona listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 29.5%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Barcelona 45%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesBarcelona

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X44.4%
X255.6%

Match result

Alaves3.2
Draw3.7
Barcelona2.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance44.4%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance55.6%
Odds1.36

Alaves

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Barcelona

Chance45%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.62

AlavesBarcelona
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Alaves vs Barcelona: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 13 May 2026

Alaves meet Barcelona in the Spain, La Liga on 13 May 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barcelona at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Barcelona FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alaves vs Barcelona?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 13 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alaves vs Barcelona prediction, H2H and stats