Get Premium

Alaves vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaFri, 23 Oct 2026

Alaves

LLDLL

Fri, 23 Oct 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Malaga

LLDLW

Pre-match win probability

57.3%Alaves26.3%Draw16.4%Malaga

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alaves

Alaves vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence57.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 57.3%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Malaga 16.4%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesMalaga
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alaves0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Malaga1W 4D 4L in last 9
    • 27 OctAlcazar0 – 3MalagaW
    • 18 OctMalaga2 – 5Real SociedadL
    • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
    • 20 SeptGetafe1 – 0MalagaL
    • 17 SeptMalaga1 – 3VillarrealL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
    3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes48%
    No52%

    Double chance

    1X65.9%
    X234.1%

    Match result

    Alaves1.65
    Draw3.6
    Malaga5.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes48% · 1.95
    No52% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance65.9%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.2

    Alaves

    Chance57.3%
    Odds1.65

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.6

    Malaga

    Chance16.4%
    Odds5.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

    AlavesMalaga
    Recent form13%87%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence45%55%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall78%22%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Malaga scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Malaga conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Alaves vs Malaga: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

    Alaves meet Malaga in the Spain, La Liga on 23 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Alaves vs Malaga FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Alaves vs Malaga?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Malaga?

    Alaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.