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Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 14 Dec 2025

Alaves

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Sun, 14 Dec 202521:00

vs

Not started

Real Madrid

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

15.2%Alaves23.7%Draw61.1%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Alaves

Alaves vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence61.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 15.2%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Real Madrid 61.1%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X33.1%
X266.9%

Match result

Alaves6.25
Draw4
Real Madrid1.55

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

Alaves

Chance15.2%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Real Madrid

Chance61.1%
Odds1.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.14

AlavesReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall20%80%

Alaves vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 14 Dec 2025

Alaves meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 14 December 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alaves vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats