Alaves vs Valencia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaTue, 15 Sept 2026

Alaves

Tue, 15 Sept 202619:00

0 : 1

Full time

Valencia

Pre-match win probability

57.7%Alaves25.7%Draw16.6%Valencia

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Alaves

Alaves vs Valencia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 57.7%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Valencia 16.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesValencia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Alaves1.65
Draw3.7
Valencia5.75

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Alaves

Chance57.7%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Valencia

Chance16.6%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.65

AlavesValencia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Alaves vs Valencia: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Alaves meet Valencia in the Spain, La Liga on 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Valencia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alaves vs Valencia?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Valencia?

Alaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alaves vs Valencia prediction, H2H and stats