Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaFri, 28 Aug 2026

Alaves

Fri, 28 Aug 202620:30

1 : 0

Full time

Villarreal

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Alaves27.1%Draw43.2%Villarreal

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Alaves

Alaves vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 29.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Villarreal 43.2%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesVillarreal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Alaves3.2
Draw3.5
Villarreal2.2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Alaves

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Villarreal

Chance43.2%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 2.2

AlavesVillarreal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Alaves vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Alaves meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 28 August 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Villarreal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alaves vs Villarreal?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alaves vs Villarreal prediction, H2H and stats