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Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueWed, 21 Oct 2026

Albirex Niigata

Wed, 21 Oct 202611:00

2 : 1

Full time

Sagan Tosu

Pre-match win probability

28.3%Albirex Niigata29.2%Draw42.5%Sagan Tosu

Our prediction

Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Albirex Niigata 28.3%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Sagan Tosu 42.5%

Season statistics

J2 League · highlighted side is stronger

Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X43.8%
X256.2%

Match result

Albirex Niigata3.3
Draw3.2
Sagan Tosu2.2

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

Albirex Niigata

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Sagan Tosu

Chance42.5%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sagan Tosu at 2.2

Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Wed, 21 Oct 2026

Albirex Niigata meet Sagan Tosu in the Japan, J2 League on 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sagan Tosu at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FAQs

4 questions

What time is Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?

Sagan Tosu is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu prediction, H2H and stats