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Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Alcobendas Sport

11th in table · 45 pts

Sat, 14 Mar 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Móstoles

7th in table · 51 pts

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

23.2%Alcobendas Sport26.6%Draw50.2%Móstoles

Our prediction

Móstoles

Móstoles is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence50.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alcobendas Sport 23.2%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Móstoles 50.2%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · highlighted side is stronger

Alcobendas SportMóstoles
Goals scored (avg)
–2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.1
Wins
1214
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alcobendas Sport0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Móstoles5W 3D 2L in last 10
    • 25 OctVillanueva Pardillo1 – 6MóstolesW
    • 18 OctMóstoles3 – 0GalapagarW
    • 11 OctUnión Adarve2 – 1MóstolesL
    • 4 OctMóstoles1 – 1Leganés IID
    • 27 SeptTorrejón0 – 1MóstolesW
    H2H
    Head to headAlcobendas Sport 1W · 1D · Móstoles 4W · 4.2 goals a game
    • 2 NovMóstoles2 – 1Alcobendas Sport
    • 3 MarAlcobendas Sport1 – 3Móstoles
    • 15 OctMóstoles1 – 1Alcobendas Sport
    • 6 AprMóstoles2 – 4Alcobendas Sport
    • 11 DecAlcobendas Sport2 – 4Móstoles
    • 3 NovMóstoles4 – 0Alcobendas Sport

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals44.7% · 2.155.3% · 1.7

    Double chance

    1X39.2%
    X260.8%

    Match result

    Alcobendas Sport3.9
    Draw3.4
    Móstoles1.8

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance39.2%
    Odds1.83

    X2

    Chance60.8%
    Odds1.18

    Alcobendas Sport

    Chance23.2%
    Odds3.9

    Draw

    Chance26.6%
    Odds3.4

    Móstoles

    Chance50.2%
    Odds1.8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Móstoles at 1.8

    Alcobendas SportMóstoles
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack33%67%
    Defence34%66%
    Goals model33%67%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall32%68%

    Trends

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

    Móstoles scored 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

    Móstoles conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles: prediction & preview

    Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

    Alcobendas Sport meet Móstoles in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 14 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Móstoles at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles?

    Móstoles is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.