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Alcorcon vs Marbella Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2Sat, 16 May 2026

Alcorcon

LLWLL

Sat, 16 May 202620:00

6 : 2

Full time

Marbella

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

66.1%Alcorcon21.7%Draw12.2%Marbella

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alcorcon

Alcorcon vs Marbella listed tip from the board.

Odds1.06
Confidence66.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alcorcon 66.1%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Marbella 12.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · highlighted side is stronger

AlcorconMarbella

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X72.2%
X227.8%

Match result

Alcorcon1.38
Draw4.2
Marbella7.5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance72.2%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance27.8%
Odds2.75

Alcorcon

Chance66.1%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance21.7%
Odds4.2

Marbella

Chance12.2%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.06

AlcorconMarbella
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Alcorcon vs Marbella: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sat, 16 May 2026

Alcorcon meet Marbella in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 16 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alcorcon at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alcorcon vs Marbella FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alcorcon vs Marbella?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alcorcon vs Marbella?

Alcorcon is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alcorcon vs Marbella prediction, H2H and stats