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Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Alcorcon

DDDWD

Sun, 15 Feb 202620:30

1 : 0

Full time

Real Murcia

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Alcorcon33.1%Draw26.3%Real Murcia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Alcorcon

Alcorcon vs Real Murcia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alcorcon 40.6%
  • Draw 33.1%
  • Real Murcia 26.3%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · highlighted side is stronger

AlcorconReal Murcia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.5% · 1.144.7% · 5
1.5 goals14% · 1.6711.1% · 2.1
2.5 goals7.8% · 317.1% · 1.36
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X55.4%
X244.6%

Match result

Alcorcon2.2
Draw2.7
Real Murcia3.4

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance55.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance44.6%
Odds1.55

Alcorcon

Chance40.6%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

Real Murcia

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.55

AlcorconReal Murcia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Alcorcon vs Real Murcia: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Alcorcon meet Real Murcia in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 15 February 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alcorcon at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alcorcon vs Real Murcia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alcorcon vs Real Murcia?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alcorcon vs Real Murcia?

Alcorcon is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alcorcon vs Real Murcia prediction, H2H and stats