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Alfreton Town vs Chorley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 31 Mar 2026

Alfreton Town

22nd in table · 50 pts

WLDDW

Tue, 31 Mar 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

Chorley

15th in table · 57 pts

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Alfreton Town27.9%Draw42.4%Chorley

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alfreton Town

Alfreton Town vs Chorley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.55
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alfreton Town 29.7%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Chorley 42.4%

Season statistics

National League - North · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alfreton TownChorley
Goals scored (avg)
12
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
1215
Played
4646

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alfreton Town4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctMickleover Sports1 – 2Alfreton TownW
  • 17 OctAlfreton Town1 – 1Warrington TownD
  • 13 OctAshton United0 – 0Alfreton TownD
  • 10 OctAlfreton Town2 – 3BuryL
  • 6 OctAlfreton Town1 – 0United of ManchesterW
Chorley6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctRadcliffe0 – 3ChorleyW
  • 24 OctChorley2 – 3BuxtonL
  • 20 OctWorcester City1 – 0ChorleyL
  • 17 OctChorley1 – 1Worcester CityD
  • 10 OctChorley2 – 1AFC Telford UnitedW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X46.2%
X253.8%

Match result

Alfreton Town3
Draw3.2
Chorley2.1

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance46.2%
Odds1.55

X2

Chance53.8%
Odds1.33

Alfreton Town

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Chorley

Chance42.4%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.55

Alfreton TownChorley
Recent form42%58%
Attack33%67%
Defence50%50%
Goals model33%67%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · National League - North

Alfreton Town scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · National League - North

Alfreton Town conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · National League - North

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · National League - North

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Alfreton Town vs Chorley: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 31 Mar 2026

Alfreton Town meet Chorley in the England, National League - North on 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chorley at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alfreton Town vs Chorley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alfreton Town vs Chorley?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 31 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alfreton Town vs Chorley?

Chorley is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.