Alfreton Town vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Alfreton Town

Fri, 17 Jul 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

Derby

Pre-match win probability

1.9%Alfreton Town6.3%Draw91.8%Derby

Our prediction

Derby

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.03
Confidence91.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alfreton Town 1.9%
  • Draw 6.3%
  • Derby 91.8%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

Alfreton TownDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals76.6% · 1.2223.4% · 4

Match result

Alfreton Town51
Draw15
Derby1.03

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Alfreton Town

Chance1.9%
Odds51

Draw

Chance6.3%
Odds15

Derby

Chance91.8%
Odds1.03

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Derby at 1.03

Alfreton TownDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall2%98%

Alfreton Town vs Derby: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Fri, 17 Jul 2026

Alfreton Town meet Derby in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 17 July 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 1.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 91.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.22, about 76.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alfreton Town vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alfreton Town vs Derby?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 17 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alfreton Town vs Derby?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 91.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.22 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Alfreton Town vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats