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Alfreton Town vs Southport Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · National League - NorthTue, 16 Dec 2025

Alfreton Town

Tue, 16 Dec 202520:45

1 : 1

Full time

Southport

Pre-match win probability

35%Alfreton Town31%Draw34%Southport

Our prediction

Alfreton Town

Alfreton Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence35%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alfreton Town 35%
  • Draw 31%
  • Southport 34%

Season statistics

National League - North · highlighted side is stronger

Alfreton TownSouthport

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Alfreton Town2.55
Draw2.88
Southport2.62

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Alfreton Town

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance31%
Odds2.88

Southport

Chance34%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Alfreton Town at 2.55

Alfreton TownSouthport
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Alfreton Town vs Southport: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 16 Dec 2025

Alfreton Town meet Southport in the England, National League - North on 16 December 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alfreton Town at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alfreton Town vs Southport FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 16 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Alfreton Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alfreton Town vs Southport prediction, H2H and stats