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Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Turkey · Türkiye KupasıWed, 14 Jan 2026

Aliağa FAŞ

Wed, 14 Jan 202611:00

2 : 6

Full time

Samsunspor

Pre-match win probability

24.5%Aliağa FAŞ22.4%Draw53.1%Samsunspor

Our prediction

Samsunspor

Samsunspor is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence53.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aliağa FAŞ 24.5%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Samsunspor 53.1%

Season statistics

Türkiye Kupası · highlighted side is stronger

Aliağa FAŞSamsunspor

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Aliağa FAŞ3.75
Draw4.1
Samsunspor1.73

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Aliağa FAŞ

Chance24.5%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance22.4%
Odds4.1

Samsunspor

Chance53.1%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Samsunspor at 1.73

Aliağa FAŞSamsunspor
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor: prediction & preview

Turkey · Türkiye Kupası · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Aliağa FAŞ meet Samsunspor in the Turkey, Türkiye Kupası on 14 January 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–6.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Samsunspor at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor?

Samsunspor is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aliağa FAŞ vs Samsunspor prediction, H2H and stats