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Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSun, 18 Oct 2026

Alianza Lima

1st in table · 65 pts

LWLWW

Sun, 18 Oct 202602:30

3 : 1

Full time

Atletico Grau

14th in table · 34 pts

LWLDD

Pre-match win probability

71.9%Alianza Lima18.7%Draw9.4%Atletico Grau

Our prediction

Draw · Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau listed tip from the board.

Odds5
Confidence71.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alianza Lima 71.9%
  • Draw 18.7%
  • Atletico Grau 9.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.3
Wins
199
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alianza Lima4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctUCV Moquegua0 – 1Alianza LimaW
  • 12 OctCusco1 – 2Alianza LimaW
  • 1 OctAlianza Lima1 – 2PalestinoL
  • 19 SeptAlianza Lima2 – 0ADTW
  • 13 SeptAlianza Lima1 – 2UniversitarioL
Atletico Grau4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 23 OctAtletico Grau1 – 1ADTD
  • 8 OctAtletico Grau0 – 0Club Deportivo Los ChankasD
  • 19 SeptSporting Cristal3 – 1Atletico GrauL
  • 13 SeptAtletico Grau3 – 1Alianza AtleticoW
  • 6 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 2Atletico GrauL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X76.2%
X223.8%

Match result

Alianza Lima1.3
Draw5
Atletico Grau10

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance76.2%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance23.8%
Odds3.4

Alianza Lima

Chance71.9%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance18.7%
Odds5

Atletico Grau

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 5

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Recent form48%52%
Attack41%59%
Defence55%45%
Goals model41%59%
Overall88%12%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Alianza Lima scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Alianza Lima conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Alianza Lima meet Atletico Grau in the Peru, Primera División on 18 October 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza Lima at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?

Alianza Lima is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.