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Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónTue, 10 Mar 2026

Alianza Lima

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Tue, 10 Mar 202602:30

3 : 1

Full time

FBC Melgar

DLLWW

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Alianza Lima26.6%Draw17.7%FBC Melgar

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alianza Lima 55.7%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • FBC Melgar 17.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Alianza LimaFBC Melgar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X66.9%
X233.1%

Match result

Alianza Lima1.67
Draw3.5
FBC Melgar5.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

Alianza Lima

Chance55.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.5

FBC Melgar

Chance17.7%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

Alianza LimaFBC Melgar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Tue, 10 Mar 2026

Alianza Lima meet FBC Melgar in the Peru, Primera División on 10 March 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza Lima at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 10 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Lima is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar prediction, H2H and stats