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Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSun, 3 May 2026

Alianza Lima

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Sun, 3 May 202602:00

2 : 1

Full time

UCV Moquegua

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Pre-match win probability

82.3%Alianza Lima12.3%Draw5.4%UCV Moquegua

Our prediction

Home · Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence82.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alianza Lima 82.3%
  • Draw 12.3%
  • UCV Moquegua 5.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X81.4%
X218.6%

Match result

Alianza Lima1.12
Draw7.5
UCV Moquegua17

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance81.4%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance18.6%
Odds4.5

Alianza Lima

Chance82.3%
Odds1.12

Draw

Chance12.3%
Odds7.5

UCV Moquegua

Chance5.4%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.12

Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall94%6%

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 3 May 2026

Alianza Lima meet UCV Moquegua in the Peru, Primera División on 3 May 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza Lima at 1.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Lima is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua prediction, H2H and stats