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Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera NacionalSat, 4 Jul 2026

Almagro

14th in table · 42 pts

LWWLD

Sat, 4 Jul 202619:30

1 : 0

Full time

Atletico DE Rafaela

11th in table · 46 pts

DDWLW

Pre-match win probability

41.3%Almagro33%Draw25.7%Atletico DE Rafaela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Almagro

Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence41.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almagro 41.3%
  • Draw 33%
  • Atletico DE Rafaela 25.7%

Season statistics

Primera Nacional · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–
Wins
1112
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Almagro3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctAlmagro1 – 1Tristan SuarezD
  • 18 OctClub Atlético Güemes2 – 1AlmagroL
  • 10 OctAlmagro2 – 1Chacarita JuniorsW
  • 4 OctSan Martin S.J.1 – 2AlmagroW
  • 27 SeptAlmagro0 – 1Nueva ChicagoL
Atletico DE Rafaela0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAlmagro 4W · 2D · Atletico DE Rafaela 2W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 14 FebAtletico DE Rafaela0 – 0Almagro
    • 18 AugAtletico DE Rafaela2 – 3Almagro
    • 30 MarAlmagro1 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela
    • 17 AprAlmagro3 – 1Atletico DE Rafaela
    • 28 AugAlmagro1 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela
    • 18 AprAtletico DE Rafaela4 – 1Almagro

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.9% · 1.123.9% · 6
    1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
    2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
    3.5 goals3.9% · 620.9% · 1.12

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1%
    No60.9%

    Double chance

    1X55.1%
    X244.9%

    Match result

    Almagro2.3
    Draw2.88
    Atletico DE Rafaela3.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes39.1% · 2.38
    No60.9% · 1.53

    1X

    Chance55.1%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance44.9%
    Odds1.57

    Almagro

    Chance41.3%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance33%
    Odds2.88

    Atletico DE Rafaela

    Chance25.7%
    Odds3.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

    AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model52%48%
    Head-to-head63%37%
    Overall62%38%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Almagro scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Almagro conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela: prediction & preview

    Argentina · Primera Nacional · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

    Almagro meet Atletico DE Rafaela in the Argentina, Primera Nacional on 4 July 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almagro at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

    Kickoff is 19:30 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

    Almagro is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Almagro vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction, H2H and stats