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Almeria vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 14 Dec 2025

Almeria

WLDLW

Sun, 14 Dec 202518:30

1 : 2

Full time

Burgos

LDLLW

Pre-match win probability

54.8%Almeria26.6%Draw18.6%Burgos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Almeria

Almeria vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence54.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 54.8%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Burgos 18.6%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaBurgos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X64.2%
X235.8%

Match result

Almeria1.7
Draw3.5
Burgos5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance64.2%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance35.8%
Odds2.1

Almeria

Chance54.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.5

Burgos

Chance18.6%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

AlmeriaBurgos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Almeria vs Burgos: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 14 Dec 2025

Almeria meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 14 December 2025 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Almeria vs Burgos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Almeria vs Burgos?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 14 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Burgos?

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Almeria vs Burgos prediction, H2H and stats