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Almeria vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 3 Oct 2026

Almeria

WWWWL

Sat, 3 Oct 202615:15

2 : 1

Full time

Burgos

WWWDD

Pre-match win probability

60.5%Almeria21.7%Draw17.9%Burgos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Almeria

Almeria vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence60.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 60.5%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Burgos 17.9%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaBurgos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Almeria1.55
Draw4.33
Burgos5.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Almeria

Chance60.5%
Odds1.55

Draw

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

Burgos

Chance17.9%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

AlmeriaBurgos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Almeria vs Burgos: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Almeria meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 3 October 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Almeria vs Burgos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Almeria vs Burgos?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Burgos?

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Almeria vs Burgos prediction, H2H and stats